Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU), the high end female yoga gear company, should be the ultimate short.
It has a price-to-earnings ratio above 35, well above the average for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. The price-to-book is 10.17, so we are hardly talking about a buy for value investors, here. Those looking for robust cash flow should go elsewhere too as the price-to-free-cash flow ratio is 10.17.
Now around $65 a share, Lululemon is down almost 15% for 2013. But over the last week of market action, Lululemon is trading higher by 5.82%. This has hardly gone unnoticed by the short community: the short float for Lululemon is 13.61%. A short float of 5% is considered to be a sign of trouble for a company.
As the chart below shows, Lululemon is a volatile stock. With a beta of 2.21, it fluctuates more than twice as much as the stock market as a whole. For those looking to go long or short, there is certainly ample opportunity with Lululemon. The plunge for Lululemon earlier this year was due to the CEO stepping aside with a successor approved of by Wall Street ready to ascend to the corner office.
Lululemon is a richly valued stock in a highly competitive sector. Nike (NYSE: NKE) and Gap (NYSE: GAP) have a greater presence and depth, in terms of product lines. Lululemon is now trading just about halfway between its 52-week high and low. With the towering short float, there are obviously many expecting to see it crater again.